Demand Pulse

what changed · what it means · what to do

Charts

Plan missed sales by

~20%

Exact holdout miss: 19.87%

Plan ran high by

~1%

Exact bias: 0.67% over plan

Avg cover

~3weeks

Exact average cover: 3.25 weeks

Items over a month of stock

about 1 in 7

13.8% have more than four weeks of cover

Open charts for plan vs actual, method bake-off, cover picture, and largest misses.

Scenario · FOODS +10% Mother's Day / spring-holiday lift (holdout window)

If FOODS sells 10% hotter…

+7,394 units extra demand
~$15k $14,819 exact

If FOODS sells 10% hotter over the holdout (Mother's Day week in window), that is about 7,394 extra units (~$14,819). Check whether simulated cover can take the lift before you buy.

What needs attention

Largest plan misses, in plain English 8 items
Item
Why
Action
Foods item 362 · California store 3 Plan missed sales by about 161%. ActionTrim the next order — plan has been running high here.
Foods item 234 · California store 2 Plan missed sales by about 153%. ActionTrim the next order — plan has been running high here.
Household item 334 · California store 1 Plan missed sales by about 141%. ActionTrim the next order — plan high and cover is already over a month.
Foods item 362 · California store 1 Plan missed sales by about 139%. ActionTrim the next order — plan has been running high here.
Foods item 362 · California store 2 Plan missed sales by about 132%. ActionTrim the next order — plan has been running high here.
Foods item 741 · California store 3 Plan missed sales by about 84%. ActionTrim the next order — plan high and cover is already over a month.
Foods item 764 · California store 2 Plan missed sales by about 73%. ActionTrim the next order — plan has been running high here.
Foods item 007 · California store 1 Plan missed sales by about 72%. ActionTrim the next order — sitting on more than four weeks of cover.
Plan miss (WMAPE) How far the plan missed sales, weighted by volume (weekly grain).
Plan high/low (bias) Whether we planned more or less than we sold overall.
Cover (weeks of supply) How many weeks simulated stock lasts at last week's sell-through.
Over a month of stock Items sitting on more than four weeks of simulated cover.
System plan Trailing 28-day mean of prior days — the simple method that beat a YoY blend on this holdout.
Simulated inventory Simple weekly reorder-to-cover policy on top of public sales. Not real Walmart on-hand.