Demand Pulse

interactive charts · same holdout as the live board

Live board
Store
Plan miss (WMAPE) How far the plan missed sales, weighted by volume (weekly grain). Locked: 19.87%.
Plan high/low (bias) Whether we planned more or less than we sold overall. Locked: +0.67%.
Cover (weeks of supply) How many weeks simulated stock lasts at last week’s sell-through. Avg ~3.25.
Over a month of stock Items sitting on more than four weeks of simulated cover. Locked: 13.8%.
System plan Trailing 28-day mean of prior days — beat a YoY blend on this holdout.

Plan vs actual (holdout weeks)

Weekly units · system plan (trail-28) vs actual sales · optional YoY blend shown dashed

Method bake-off

Weekly WMAPE on the holdout · lower is better · trail-28 won

Simulated cover (last week)

Item share by weeks of supply · bars past 4 weeks = over a month of stock (13.8%)

Largest plan misses

Top 8 exceptions · weekly WMAPE · plain English labels

Scenario · FOODS +10% Mother’s Day lift

Holdout window · check whether simulated cover can take the lift before you buy

+7,394 unitsextra demand
~$15k~$14,819 exact

If FOODS sells 10% hotter over the holdout, that is about 7.4k extra units (~$15k).